Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Miami Hurricanes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 76.8% | 23.2% | -6.6 | ✗ (33.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Hurricanes +27 (90-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Plumlee * | 37 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Q. Cook * | 29 | 1-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Jefferson * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| R. Sulaimon * | 26 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| S. Curry * | 22 | 0-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -8 | - |
| A. Murphy | 23 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| T. Thornton | 20 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| J. Hairston | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Miami Hurricanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Larkin * | 36 | 8-14 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 18 | - |
| D. Scott * | 36 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 20 | - |
| T. McKinney-Jones * | 27 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| K. Kadji * | 26 | 9-11 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| J. Gamble * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 16 | - |
| R. Brown | 17 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. Johnson | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Jekiri | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Akpejiori | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Sorenson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Heller | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E. Swoope | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter