Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.5% | 20.5% | -7.5 | ✓ (24.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -32 (56-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Plumlee * | 36 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 25 | - |
| S. Curry * | 32 | 6-14 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - |
| R. Sulaimon * | 30 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| J. Hairston * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Q. Cook * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| T. Thornton | 30 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A. Jefferson | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| A. Murphy | 11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Zafirovski | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Green * | 32 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| J. Eddie * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C. Raines * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C.J. Barksdale * | 21 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| M. Rankin * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Wood | 24 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| R. Brown | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Johnston | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. van Zegeren | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Racer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Patrick | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Beyer | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| G. Donlon | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter