Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.0% | 36.0% | -3.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -5 (71-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Plumlee * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 22 | - |
| R. Sulaimon * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Q. Cook * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 23 | - |
| S. Curry * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| R. Kelly * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 26 | - |
| T. Thornton | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| J. Hairston | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Jefferson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Murphy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Siva * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 25 | - |
| R. Smith * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 21 | - |
| W. Blackshear * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Behanan * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Z. Price * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. Van Treese | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| M. Harrell | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| L. Hancock | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Ware | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter