Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.9% | 71.1% | +5.8 | ✗ (10.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | +3.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -5 (71-76). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Plumlee * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 22 | +2.4 |
| Rasheed Sulaimon * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 19 | +17.3 |
| Quinn Cook * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 23 | +6.2 |
| Seth Curry * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | +6.7 |
| Ryan Kelly * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 26 | +8.5 |
| Tyler Thornton | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | +4.1 |
| Josh Hairston | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Amile Jefferson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.9 |
| Alex Murphy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.2 |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peyton Siva * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 25 | -8.3 |
| Russ Smith * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 21 | +0.1 |
| Wayne Blackshear * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3.1 |
| Chane Behanan * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -8.7 |
| Zach Price * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -9.6 |
| Stephan Van Treese | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | +6.8 |
| Montrezl Harrell | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | +5.9 |
| Luke Hancock | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.8 |
| Kevin Ware | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +3.5 |
* = starter