Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.0% | 89.0% | +13.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.9% | 85.1% | +19.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +21 (88-67). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherwood Brown * | 36 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | +2.4 |
| Bernard Thompson * | 30 | 9-13 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 19 | +16.8 |
| Brett Comer * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2 | -8.0 |
| Chase Fieler * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -4.4 |
| Eric McKnight * | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -6.0 |
| Eddie Murray | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +10.1 |
| Filip Cvjeticanin | 21 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Christophe Varidel | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -1 | -19.5 |
| Dajuan Graf | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +5.0 |
| Marcus Blake | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Plumlee * | 35 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 26 | +16.4 |
| Rasheed Sulaimon * | 33 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | +18.6 |
| Quinn Cook * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 9 | +1.6 |
| Ryan Kelly * | 25 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | +16.7 |
| Seth Curry * | 24 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | +0.4 |
| Tyler Thornton | 24 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +4.1 |
| Amile Jefferson | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Josh Hairston | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -22.0 |
| Alex Murphy | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -11.0 |
* = starter