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2013-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 71.7% 28.3% -
Bradley-Terry 59.6% 40.4% -
Margin 51.3% 48.7% -0.3 (15.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.6% 45.4% -
Efficiency 88.5% 11.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.1% 15.9% -
Log Adjusted 83.9% 16.1% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -16 (53-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Cook * 40 5-12 2-5 0-0 5 5 1 0 2 12 9 -
M. Plumlee * 37 10-15 0-0 3-4 13 0 1 0 3 23 19 -
S. Curry * 37 8-13 2-6 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 20 11 -
R. Kelly * 28 2-4 0-0 4-4 3 3 0 1 3 8 8 -
T. Thornton * 28 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 3 3 -
R. Sulaimon 15 0-2 0-2 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 1 3 -
J. Hairston 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 2 -
A. Jefferson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McAdoo * 34 6-14 0-0 3-4 3 0 2 0 0 15 6 -
R. Bullock Jr. * 32 4-9 0-4 0-0 6 2 1 0 2 8 6 -
D. Strickland * 31 2-8 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 4 -4 -
P.J. Hairston * 29 4-12 1-6 5-5 6 0 3 0 1 14 10 -
F. Tanner * 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Paige 32 1-6 0-1 2-2 1 6 0 2 5 4 2 -
L. McDonald 14 2-8 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -
B. Johnson 8 0-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J.P. Tokoto 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. James 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Hubert 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Simmons 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter