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2012-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 10.4% 89.6% -
Bradley-Terry 8.6% 91.4% -
Margin 3.7% 96.3% +18.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 33.8% 66.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +13 (90-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Roquemore * 38 6-14 2-7 3-4 6 2 2 0 3 17 10 -
M. Trasolini * 36 4-12 0-1 2-4 5 0 0 1 2 10 2 -
K. Foster * 35 12-22 5-11 0-0 5 4 1 0 5 29 12 -
R. Cowels III * 31 4-8 2-6 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 10 6 -
R. Garrett * 22 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 2 0 2 7 -
B. Clark 16 2-4 0-2 5-5 0 2 0 0 1 9 6 -
Y. Atanga 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 3 1 0 5 -
J. McArthur 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
N. Harrison 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Murphy 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Plumlee * 39 6-10 0-0 10-15 13 5 0 1 2 22 29 -
S. Curry * 36 12-18 4-7 3-4 3 0 1 0 2 31 15 -
Q. Cook * 36 6-14 1-2 2-2 5 5 2 0 2 15 11 -
R. Sulaimon * 29 2-8 0-2 2-5 1 2 2 0 1 6 2 -
R. Kelly * 29 3-8 1-1 3-3 11 2 1 1 1 10 16 -
T. Thornton 19 1-2 1-2 0-2 1 1 0 0 2 3 1 -
J. Hairston 11 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
M. Plumlee 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter