Model Predictions
| Model | Maryland Terrapins | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.5% | 88.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.0% | 95.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +20 (84-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dez Wells * | 36 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Alex Len * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | +0.4 |
| Nick Faust * | 30 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | -12.0 |
| Jake Layman * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -6.0 |
| Shaquille Cleare * | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -7.8 |
| Pe'Shon Howard | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -6.2 |
| Charles Mitchell | 13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | -4.9 |
| Seth Allen | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.9 |
| Logan Aronhalt | 10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -7.8 |
| James Padgett | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -9.4 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Cook * | 40 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | +15.3 |
| Mason Plumlee * | 37 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | +7.3 |
| Seth Curry * | 32 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +5.3 |
| Rasheed Sulaimon * | 29 | 9-13 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 15 | +26.9 |
| Amile Jefferson * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 16 | -1.0 |
| Tyler Thornton | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +4.6 |
| Josh Hairston | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +10.9 |
| Marshall Plumlee | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +6.7 |
| Alex Murphy | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter