Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Davidson Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 84.0% | 16.0% | -9.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Davidson Wildcats -17 (50-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Kelly * | 35 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Quinn Cook * | 34 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 33 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Seth Curry * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Rasheed Sulaimon * | 31 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 23 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Amile Jefferson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Murphy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Kuhlman * | 34 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Nik Cochran * | 32 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| De'Mon Brooks * | 30 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Chris Czerapowicz * | 23 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Jake Cohen * | 19 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 8-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Tyler Kalinoski | 26 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Clint Mann | 21 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Tom Droney | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Barham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter