Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.2% | 30.8% | -5.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.0% | 40.0% | -4.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -7 (68-75). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Kelly * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 20 | +4.9 |
| Mason Plumlee * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -3.0 |
| Tyler Thornton * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -0.5 |
| Seth Curry | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 29 | +12.9 |
| Rasheed Sulaimon | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 21 | +15.6 |
| Quinn Cook | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | +0.5 |
| Josh Hairston | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | +7.6 |
| Amile Jefferson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.2 |
| Alex Murphy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.3 |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nerlens Noel * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 32 | -4.1 |
| Archie Goodwin * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 23 | -5.8 |
| Julius Mays * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7 | -2.7 |
| Kyle Wiltjer * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | +7.0 |
| Alex Poythress | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 26 | +16.2 |
| Jarrod Polson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -13.5 |
| Willie Cauley-Stein | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -4.9 |
| Jon Hood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter