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2013-03-24

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 14.9% 85.1% -
Bradley-Terry 23.7% 76.3% -
Margin 14.3% 85.7% +9.9 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 37.7% 62.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.9% 74.1% -
Log Adjusted 25.7% 74.3% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +16 (66-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Chatman * 38 2-11 1-6 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 7 0 -
D. McDermott * 35 4-16 1-4 12-12 9 0 0 0 3 21 11 -
J. Manigat * 33 1-7 0-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 2 -4 -
G. Echenique * 28 4-7 0-0 1-3 6 0 1 2 1 9 10 -
G. Gibbs * 28 4-7 0-1 0-0 5 4 0 0 2 8 8 -
A. Dingman 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
E. Wragge 14 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 1 0 1 3 2 -
N. Johnson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Yates 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Stormberg 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Olsen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Groselle 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Artino 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Curry * 36 5-15 2-9 5-6 4 0 2 0 2 17 6 -
Q. Cook * 33 2-8 0-3 3-4 5 6 1 0 2 7 9 -
R. Sulaimon * 30 5-9 3-5 8-10 5 0 0 0 0 21 17 -
R. Kelly * 28 0-5 0-1 1-2 4 2 1 1 1 1 3 -
M. Plumlee * 27 4-7 0-0 2-3 5 1 2 1 2 10 10 -
T. Thornton 23 2-2 2-2 2-3 6 0 1 1 0 8 14 -
A. Jefferson 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
J. Hairston 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
A. Murphy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Plumlee 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter