Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.6% | 89.4% | +11.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +13 (98-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lewis * | 39 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| C.J. Leslie * | 36 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | - |
| R. Purvis * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| S. Wood * | 33 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| R. Howell * | 29 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 16 | - |
| T.J. Warren | 28 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| J. Vandenberg | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Plumlee | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 40 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 12-16 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 30 | 31 | - |
| R. Sulaimon * | 35 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Q. Cook * | 35 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 21 | - |
| S. Curry * | 35 | 6-15 | 4-12 | 10-12 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 18 | - |
| A. Jefferson * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Thornton | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| A. Murphy | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter