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2013-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 82.8% 17.2% -
Bradley-Terry 80.0% 20.0% -
Margin 83.1% 16.9% -8.8 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 71.5% 28.5% -
Efficiency 93.3% 6.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.1% 5.9% -
Log Adjusted 94.1% 5.9% -

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -5 (70-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Cook * 38 5-12 1-5 1-2 4 7 1 0 3 12 9 -
S. Curry * 37 7-17 1-6 6-7 2 2 0 1 1 21 8 -
M. Plumlee * 36 12-15 0-0 8-10 9 2 2 2 7 32 25 -
R. Sulaimon * 24 2-4 0-2 2-3 4 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
A. Jefferson * 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
T. Thornton 22 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
J. Hairston 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
A. Murphy 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
M. Plumlee 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. McKie * 37 5-12 2-4 2-2 7 2 1 2 0 14 14 -
C.J. Harris * 34 4-12 0-2 6-7 3 1 0 0 5 14 1 -
M. Jones * 31 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 5 2 0 3 4 6 -
D. Thomas * 25 7-10 0-0 1-3 6 2 0 0 2 15 11 -
C. Miller-McIntyre * 25 3-7 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 6 -1 -
A. Adala Moto 17 1-3 0-1 5-6 4 0 0 0 0 7 8 -
T. Cavanaugh 15 2-4 1-2 1-1 2 1 1 0 3 6 3 -
A. Rountree 11 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 2 0 1 1 4 6 -
C. Fischer 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter