Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | VCU Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VCU Rams -9 (58-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Cook * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 18 | - |
| Ryan Kelly * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 22 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 27 | - |
| Rasheed Sulaimon * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Seth Curry * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Amile Jefferson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juvonte Reddic * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 30 | - |
| Darius Theus * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Treveon Graham * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 23 | - |
| Troy Daniels * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| D.J. Haley * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Rob Brandenberg | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Briante Weber | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Melvin Johnson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Teddy Okereafor | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jarred Guest | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| David Hinton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter