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2013-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 7.4% 92.6% -
Bradley-Terry 21.0% 79.0% -
Margin 9.2% 90.8% +12.6 (9.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% -
Efficiency 28.6% 71.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.0% 83.0% -
Log Adjusted 18.4% 81.6% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +3 (79-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Larkin * 39 8-16 2-7 7-8 4 4 0 0 4 25 13 -
D. Scott * 38 6-16 0-2 0-1 5 1 1 0 1 12 2 -
K. Kadji * 35 7-13 2-6 1-1 10 0 0 0 3 17 11 -
T. McKinney-Jones * 28 4-6 2-3 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 12 11 -
R. Johnson * 17 0-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Gamble 18 2-3 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
R. Brown 16 0-4 0-3 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
T. Jekiri 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
E. Swoope 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Cook * 39 5-9 3-5 2-2 4 5 0 1 3 15 13 -
S. Curry * 38 2-8 1-5 2-5 5 3 0 0 0 7 7 -
M. Plumlee * 37 5-9 0-0 2-4 5 2 1 2 1 12 12 -
R. Kelly * 32 10-14 7-9 9-12 7 1 2 1 1 36 32 -
R. Sulaimon * 27 3-7 0-3 1-3 1 0 1 0 4 7 -2 -
T. Thornton 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Hairston 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 2 -

* = starter