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2013-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 10.5% 89.5% -
Bradley-Terry 16.7% 83.3% -
Margin 8.0% 92.0% +13.5 (14.5 off)
Pythagorean 22.6% 77.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +28 (85-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Eddie * 34 3-10 3-7 4-4 7 1 0 0 1 13 10 -
E. Green * 34 10-19 1-4 4-6 4 2 0 0 1 25 11 -
C.J. Barksdale * 27 3-8 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 6 4 -
R. Brown * 21 1-5 1-2 0-2 2 0 0 0 2 3 -2 -
C. Raines * 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Rankin 24 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 4 1 -
M. Wood 21 0-4 0-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
J. van Zegeren 15 2-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 2 4 3 -
W. Johnston 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Beyer 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Racer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Patrick 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
G. Donlon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Curry * 36 6-11 5-9 3-4 5 1 1 0 0 20 16 -
M. Plumlee * 34 4-10 0-0 6-8 7 5 0 1 0 14 17 -
Q. Cook * 34 6-10 2-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 14 11 -
R. Kelly * 31 6-12 2-7 4-4 9 5 0 1 1 18 20 -
R. Sulaimon * 17 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 5 4 -
T. Thornton 28 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 6 5 -
J. Hairston 10 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
A. Jefferson 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Murphy 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Plumlee 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
T. Zafirovski 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter