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2013-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 5.8% 94.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 6.6% 93.4% - โœ“
Margin 1.6% 98.4% +22.6 โœ“ (5.4 off)
Pythagorean 24.3% 75.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 12.1% 87.9% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +28 (85-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Eddie * 34 3-10 3-7 4-4 7 1 0 0 1 13 10 -
E. Green * 34 10-19 1-4 4-6 4 2 0 0 1 25 11 -
C.J. Barksdale * 27 3-8 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 6 4 -
R. Brown * 21 1-5 1-2 0-2 2 0 0 0 2 3 -2 -
C. Raines * 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Rankin 24 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 4 1 -
M. Wood 21 0-4 0-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
J. van Zegeren 15 2-3 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 2 4 3 -
W. Johnston 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Beyer 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Racer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Patrick 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
G. Donlon 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Seth Curry * 36 6-11 5-9 3-4 5 1 1 0 0 20 16 -
M. Plumlee * 34 4-10 0-0 6-8 7 5 0 1 0 14 17 -
Quinn Cook * 34 6-10 2-3 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 14 11 -
Ryan Kelly * 31 6-12 2-7 4-4 9 5 0 1 1 18 20 -
Rasheed Sulaimon * 17 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 5 4 -
Tyler Thornton 28 2-4 2-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 6 5 -
Josh Hairston 10 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Amile Jefferson 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Alex Murphy 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Plumlee 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Todd Zafirovski 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter