Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.2% | 73.8% | +5.7 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +10 (71-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Appling * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 5 | - |
| A. Payne * | 36 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| G. Harris * | 35 | 2-11 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| D. Nix * | 23 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| B. Dawson * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Valentine | 18 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Trice II | 16 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Gauna | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Costello | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Curry * | 37 | 8-17 | 6-9 | 7-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 15 | - |
| R. Sulaimon * | 36 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 12-14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 36 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Q. Cook * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| R. Kelly | 38 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| T. Thornton | 26 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| J. Hairston | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter