Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.9% | 83.1% | +8.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Smith Jr. * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 18 | - |
| A. Craft * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| D. Thomas * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | - |
| S. Thompson * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
| E. Ravenel * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| A. Williams | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - |
| S. Scott | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| L. Ross | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Cook * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | - |
| M. Plumlee * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 39 | - |
| R. Sulaimon * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| R. Kelly * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| S. Curry * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Thornton | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Hairston | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Jefferson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Murphy | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter