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Cal Poly

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Also known as: Cal Poly Mustangs
Program History
Coach: Kevin Bromley

2006 Team Stats (3 games)

60.0
PPG
68.0
Opp
-8.0
Margin
36.5%
FG%
25.9%
3P%
69.9%
FT%
37.3
RPG
6.3
APG
14.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
61.6
Adj PPG
67.4
Adj Opp PPG
#257
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 811 (#282) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 825 (#292) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More → 953 (#238) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More → -5.9 (#251) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More → -3.6 (#215) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.265 (#280) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -8.9 More → 0.263 (#246) AdjNet -8.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -8.9 More → 0.264 (#245) AdjNet -8.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 67.4 More → 0.371 (#257) AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 67.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 65.7 More → 0.428 (#244) AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 65.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.342 (#250) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.353 (#252) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 132 | GP 27 More → 828 (#280) RD 132 | GP 27

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-18 vs UC San Diego Tritons W 71 - 67
2005-11-20 vs San José State Spartans L 57 - 72
2005-11-23 vs Fresno State Bulldogs L 77 - 85
2005-11-28 @ Stanford Cardinal L 58 - 82
2005-12-03 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 75 - 93
2005-12-10 @ Santa Clara Broncos L 58 - 73
2005-12-16 vs Stanislaus State Warriors W 88 - 75
2005-12-20 @ Sacramento State Hornets L 59 - 80
2005-12-23 @ Eastern Washington Eagles L 62 - 76
2005-12-30 vs Portland Pilots L 61 - 66
2006-01-02 @ Cal State Fullerton Titans W 83 - 70
2006-01-04 @ UC Riverside Highlanders W 66 - 55
2006-01-07 vs UC Irvine Anteaters L 67 - 69
2006-01-09 vs Long Beach State Beach L 66 - 79
2006-01-13 @ UC Davis Aggies L 52 - 65
2006-01-21 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 74 - 62
2006-01-26 vs Pacific Tigers L 62 - 64
2006-01-28 vs Cal State Northridge Matadors W 73 - 54
2006-02-04 vs UC Davis Aggies L 70 - 83
2006-02-09 @ Long Beach State Beach L 66 - 69
2006-02-11 @ UC Irvine Anteaters W 61 - 58
2006-02-15 @ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos L 37 - 64
2006-02-18 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 85 - 89
2006-02-23 vs UC Riverside Highlanders W 59 - 55
2006-02-25 vs Cal State Fullerton Titans W 76 - 72
2006-03-02 @ Cal State Northridge Matadors L 77 - 82
2006-03-04 @ Pacific Tigers L 53 - 75
2006-03-09 vs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos W 57 - 50
2006-03-10 @ Pacific Tigers L 57 - 68

2006 Roster

No roster data available for this season.