Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.9% | 97.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.6 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +4 (89-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Stockalper | 35 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | - |
| D. Whiten | 32 | 6-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| G. Stephenson | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| C. Thomas | 31 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Clark | 25 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| T. McGinn | 24 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| T. Shelton | 14 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Henry | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Hunter | 36 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| I. O'Leary | 36 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - |
| J. Winston | 33 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 7-11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 23 | - |
| T. Golden | 29 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Simpson | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| B. Collins | 20 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 17 | - |
| B. Sholberg | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| E. Bond | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Rhalimi | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter