Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.0% | 66.0% | +3.6 | ✗ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.3% | 12.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -11 (55-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Stephenson | 36 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 4-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| D. Stockalper | 35 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| C. Thomas | 31 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Whiten | 29 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. McGinn | 28 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T. Clark | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Osborn | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Henry | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Porter | 32 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| B. Bekono | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| L. Cunningham | 23 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -2 | - |
| H. Power | 22 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| D. Bates | 21 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| S. Williams | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Cobbs | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Soto | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Schille | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Misko | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Knox | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter