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2006-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs UC Riverside Highlanders Spread Result
Elo 30.9% 69.1% -
Bradley-Terry 39.8% 60.2% -
Margin 34.0% 66.0% +3.6 (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 78.1% 21.9% -
Efficiency 75.8% 24.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.3% 12.7% -
Log Adjusted 87.4% 12.6% -

Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -11 (55-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Stephenson 36 7-14 0-1 4-8 7 2 0 3 0 18 16 -
D. Stockalper 35 4-10 0-2 6-6 8 2 1 0 2 14 13 -
C. Thomas 31 1-6 1-2 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 5 3 -
D. Whiten 29 2-7 2-5 2-2 1 1 2 0 1 8 4 -
T. McGinn 28 6-11 1-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 13 6 -
T. Clark 25 3-5 0-1 2-2 0 2 1 0 2 8 4 -
C. Osborn 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Henry 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Z. Thurow 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Porter 32 3-9 2-5 0-0 2 4 1 0 1 8 5 -
B. Bekono 26 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 3 6 2 -
L. Cunningham 23 3-7 2-5 0-1 1 0 0 0 4 8 -2 -
H. Power 22 3-7 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 9 4 -
D. Bates 21 4-8 0-1 1-2 9 1 0 0 0 9 11 -
S. Williams 18 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 4 2 -
R. Cobbs 17 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 3 3 -
C. Soto 15 2-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
K. Schille 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
D. Misko 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
J. Knox 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Cunningham 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter