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2005-12-03

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 5.3% 94.7% -
Bradley-Terry 10.5% 89.5% -
Margin 4.4% 95.6% +17.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% -
Efficiency 6.7% 93.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +18 (93-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Thomas 34 4-9 1-4 0-1 4 5 1 0 5 9 5 -
G. Stephenson 31 3-9 1-3 1-3 12 1 1 1 2 8 12 -
C. Leavitt 29 7-10 1-2 2-3 5 1 0 3 3 17 13 -
D. Whiten 27 4-11 4-9 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 12 1 -
D. Stockalper 27 7-9 3-4 0-0 4 3 0 0 1 17 14 -
T. McGinn 16 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 5 1 -
Z. Thurow 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Osborn 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
R.J. Socci 7 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
J. Henry 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Osborn 32 6-11 4-9 1-2 10 1 0 2 1 17 18 -
R. Roby 26 7-13 2-4 1-2 7 4 2 0 0 17 17 -
J. Obazuaye 25 6-8 0-0 1-3 4 1 1 1 0 13 12 -
C. Copeland 23 4-9 0-3 4-9 5 1 2 1 0 12 12 -
M. Hall 22 5-9 1-4 0-0 2 5 1 0 1 11 9 -
D. Coleman 20 2-7 0-3 1-1 3 4 3 0 2 5 6 -
M. King-Stockton 12 2-4 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 0 5 7 -
M. Freeman 11 2-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
G. Eddy 7 1-4 0-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 3 0 -
A. McGee 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Williams 4 0-3 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
L. Arrington 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 0 4 -
K. Carder 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
S. Senger 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter