Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Colorado Buffaloes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.4% | 95.6% | +17.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +18 (93-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Thomas | 34 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 5 | - |
| G. Stephenson | 31 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| C. Leavitt | 29 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | - |
| D. Whiten | 27 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | - |
| D. Stockalper | 27 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| T. McGinn | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Osborn | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R.J. Socci | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Henry | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Osborn | 32 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| R. Roby | 26 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| J. Obazuaye | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| C. Copeland | 23 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 4-9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| M. Hall | 22 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D. Coleman | 20 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. King-Stockton | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| M. Freeman | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| G. Eddy | 7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. McGee | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Williams | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| L. Arrington | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Carder | 4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Senger | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter