Model Predictions
| Model | San José State Spartans | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.7% | 76.3% | +8.9 | ✗ (23.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.4% | 48.6% | -0.3 | ✓ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -15 (57-72). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
San José State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Richardson | 35 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Misko | 29 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| A. Elam | 29 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Demetrius 'D.J.' Brown | 23 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 14 | - |
| C. Spencer | 22 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Gardner | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Fleming | 12 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Barbary | 11 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| J. Cozad | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Devonte Thomas | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaz Thomas | 28 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D. Stockalper | 26 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| C. Leavitt | 25 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Whiten | 24 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| G. Stephenson | 23 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Busch | 17 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. McGinn | 14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Henry | 14 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| C. Osborn | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R.J. Socci | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter