Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.3% | 80.7% | +7.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers +11 (68-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Thomas | 39 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Stockalper | 38 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| D. Whiten | 34 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Shelton | 27 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
| T. Clark | 26 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| T. McGinn | 19 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| G. Stephenson | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Henry | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Maraker | 38 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| M. Webb | 36 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| A. Esparza | 34 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| J. Gray | 34 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| A. Brown | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| M. White | 18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| S. Johnson | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| W. Raffety | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter