Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.3% | 80.7% | +7.9 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers +22 (75-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Thomas | 31 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 9 | - |
| D. Stockalper | 30 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Whiten | 26 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 4 | - |
| G. Stephenson | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Clark | 21 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - |
| T. Shelton | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| T. McGinn | 18 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Henry | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Osborn | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Maraker | 30 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| J. Gray | 27 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| M. Webb | 27 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| A. Esparza | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. White | 22 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| S. Johnson | 17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| A. Brown | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Ford | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| W. Raffety | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Vezia | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Pemberton | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter