Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +7 (57-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Goettsche | 35 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| C. Devine | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Brown | 32 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| J. See | 28 | 2-9 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Davis | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Harris | 23 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Chambers | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Garlepp | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Moore | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Stockalper | 36 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D. Whiten | 33 | 5-14 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| T. Clark | 27 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| C. Thomas | 26 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. McGinn | 25 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Shelton | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| G. Stephenson | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Henry | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Osborn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter