Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Santa Clara Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.4% | 85.6% | +9.8 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +15 (73-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Stephenson | 32 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Whiten | 31 | 5-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| C. Leavitt | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| D. Stockalper | 22 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| C. Thomas | 21 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Clark | 19 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| T. McGinn | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Henry | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| C. Osborn | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| R.J. Socci | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Johnson | 36 | 9-14 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 17 | - |
| B. Angley | 35 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Niesen | 33 | 6-13 | 2-4 | 7-11 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 18 | - |
| B. Rohe | 26 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| M. Henke | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Bryant | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| O. Mbanugo | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Kaempf | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Burke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Daniel | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Sammet | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter