Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.1% | 76.9% | +6.6 | ✗ (19.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -13 (70-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Oliver | 38 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 37 | 7-13 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| R. Marentez | 37 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| P. Rasmussen | 35 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| J. Lopez-Low | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| T. Juillerat | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Carter | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Ford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Boone | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Whiten | 35 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 1-6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D. Stockalper | 32 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| T. McGinn | 30 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| C. Thomas | 28 | 7-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| T. Clark | 27 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -2 | - |
| G. Stephenson | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Shelton | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Henry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter