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UC Riverside Highlanders 55
@
Cal Poly Mustangs 59
2006-02-23

Model Predictions

Model UC Riverside Highlanders Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 52.8% 47.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 45.9% 54.1% - ✓
Margin 37.5% 62.5% +2.8 ✓ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 15.9% 84.1% - ✓
Efficiency 18.2% 81.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 6.7% 93.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 6.6% 93.4% - ✓

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +4 (59-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Williams 43 6-14 0-2 4-5 8 1 0 1 0 16 12 -
R. Porter 42 2-10 2-6 1-2 3 1 1 0 4 7 -2 -
K. Schille 38 3-7 0-0 2-4 11 2 0 0 2 8 12 -
L. Cunningham 37 3-16 0-2 4-4 6 3 1 0 2 10 2 -
D. Misko 27 4-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 8 5 -
C. Soto 17 1-5 1-1 1-2 3 0 0 2 0 4 4 -
S. Cunningham 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 2 5 -
R. Cobbs 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 2 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Stockalper 36 7-17 2-6 0-0 14 2 1 1 1 16 16 -
G. Stephenson 31 0-4 0-0 5-8 10 1 1 1 0 5 14 -
T. Clark 30 3-9 2-4 0-0 6 1 1 0 4 8 3 -
C. Thomas 25 3-10 1-4 0-0 5 4 1 0 2 7 5 -
T. McGinn 24 4-7 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 11 5 -
T. Shelton 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 2 1 -
D. Whiten 23 1-9 0-5 3-4 1 2 0 0 2 5 -3 -
J. Henry 14 0-1 0-0 3-4 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
C. Osborn 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Z. Thurow 7 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter