Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +5 (82-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Stockalper | 37 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| D. Whiten | 31 | 5-19 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 0 | - |
| T. McGinn | 29 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. Clark | 28 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 16 | - |
| T. Shelton | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| G. Stephenson | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Thomas | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| J. Henry | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| C. Osborn | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Heard | 34 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 33 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 17 | - |
| M. Efevberha | 25 | 5-12 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| B. Altheimer | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Smith | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J. Hill | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| T. Shewmake | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| R. Haynes | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Washington | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Powers | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter