Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.2 | ✓ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets +21 (80-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Stockalper | 32 | 8-16 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | - |
| J. Henry | 29 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| T. Clark | 24 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| T. McGinn | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| G. Stephenson | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | - |
| C. Thomas | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| R.J. Socci | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Osborn | 17 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Z. Thurow | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Freeman | 35 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| J. Harris | 29 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| L. Leath | 27 | 9-13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 15 | - |
| A. Bausley | 27 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| H. Hargrave | 20 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| C. Woods | 20 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J. Williams | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Lange | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Roberts | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Adams | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Z. Beekman | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Gilzene | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Perry | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter