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2005-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs Sacramento State Hornets Spread Result
Elo 49.5% 50.5% -
Bradley-Terry 49.0% 51.0% -
Margin 44.9% 55.1% +1.1 (19.9 off)
Efficiency 23.7% 76.3% -

Actual: Sacramento State Hornets +21 (80-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Stockalper 32 8-16 2-5 2-3 7 1 1 0 2 20 11 -
J. Henry 29 0-2 0-2 2-2 3 3 0 0 1 2 5 -
T. Clark 24 1-7 1-4 3-5 0 3 2 0 3 6 1 -
T. McGinn 24 3-7 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 3 6 2 -
G. Stephenson 24 1-4 0-2 4-4 6 0 0 0 7 6 1 -
C. Thomas 23 2-5 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
R.J. Socci 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 0 1 -
C. Osborn 17 4-7 1-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 11 5 -
Z. Thurow 10 0-1 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 0 0 2 7 -

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Freeman 35 3-9 0-3 3-4 4 8 3 1 3 9 13 -
J. Harris 29 6-8 1-1 3-4 5 3 0 1 0 16 17 -
L. Leath 27 9-13 5-7 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 23 15 -
A. Bausley 27 3-10 0-4 1-2 4 3 5 0 3 7 6 -
H. Hargrave 20 2-7 1-4 3-4 2 0 0 0 1 8 2 -
C. Woods 20 2-5 2-5 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 6 6 -
J. Williams 12 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
C. Lange 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
D. Roberts 8 1-1 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
R. Adams 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
Z. Beekman 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
J. Gilzene 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Perry 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter