Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.5% | 43.5% | -1.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Efficiency | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -2 (62-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Maraker | 35 | 4-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| M. Webb | 34 | 3-12 | 2-9 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Gray | 34 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| A. Esparza | 29 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| A. Brown | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| S. Johnson | 20 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| M. White | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Ford | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Stockalper | 38 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| D. Whiten | 33 | 6-18 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | -2 | - |
| C. Thomas | 30 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | - |
| T. McGinn | 27 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| T. Shelton | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| G. Stephenson | 24 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Clark | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter