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2005-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs Eastern Washington Eagles Spread Result
Elo 15.2% 84.8% +13.8 โœ“ (0.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 21.0% 79.0% - โœ“
Margin 14.1% 85.9% +9.9 โœ“ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 33.2% 66.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 16.3% 83.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 16.3% 83.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.8% 70.2% - โœ“

Actual: Eastern Washington Eagles +14 (76-62). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Stockalper 31 1-8 1-4 1-2 6 2 1 0 2 4 3 -
T. McGinn 31 8-11 0-1 2-4 5 0 1 0 2 18 11 -
Dawin Whiten 30 3-10 1-5 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 8 1 -
Clayton Osborn 23 2-5 2-3 2-2 3 4 0 0 3 8 7 -
Joe Henry 21 2-3 0-0 2-3 4 0 1 0 2 6 6 -
Trae Clark 21 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 3 2 2 -
Gabe Stephenson 18 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
Chaz Thomas 13 3-8 1-2 1-1 0 0 1 0 2 8 -1 -
Z. Thurow 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 0 1 -
R.J. Socci 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Eastern Washington Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rodney Stuckey 34 9-15 1-2 5-6 3 7 7 1 0 24 27 -
Kellen Williams 31 3-5 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 1 1 7 11 -
Paul Butorac 26 8-9 0-0 0-3 7 3 0 2 3 16 16 -
Deuce Smith 23 1-3 0-2 4-4 0 2 1 0 3 6 3 -
Matt Penoncello 19 2-3 1-2 2-2 1 2 4 0 0 7 11 -
Jake Beitinger 18 2-10 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 2 2 6 -2 -
Henry Bekkering 16 2-5 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 2 2 5 0 -
Rhett Humphrey 12 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
Derek Risper 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Neal Zumwalt 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Justin Bright 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter