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2005-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs Eastern Washington Eagles Spread Result
Elo 35.6% 64.4% -
Bradley-Terry 32.4% 67.6% -
Margin 26.2% 73.8% +5.7 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% -
Efficiency 29.3% 70.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.6% 88.4% -
Log Adjusted 11.2% 88.8% -

Actual: Eastern Washington Eagles +14 (76-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Stockalper 31 1-8 1-4 1-2 6 2 1 0 2 4 3 -
T. McGinn 31 8-11 0-1 2-4 5 0 1 0 2 18 11 -
D. Whiten 30 3-10 1-5 1-2 3 1 0 0 1 8 1 -
C. Osborn 23 2-5 2-3 2-2 3 4 0 0 3 8 7 -
J. Henry 21 2-3 0-0 2-3 4 0 1 0 2 6 6 -
T. Clark 21 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 3 2 2 -
G. Stephenson 18 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
C. Thomas 13 3-8 1-2 1-1 0 0 1 0 2 8 -1 -
Z. Thurow 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 0 1 -
R.J. Socci 3 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Eastern Washington Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Stuckey 34 9-15 1-2 5-6 3 7 7 1 0 24 27 -
K. Williams 31 3-5 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 1 1 7 11 -
P. Butorac 26 8-9 0-0 0-3 7 3 0 2 3 16 16 -
D. Smith 23 1-3 0-2 4-4 0 2 1 0 3 6 3 -
M. Penoncello 19 2-3 1-2 2-2 1 2 4 0 0 7 11 -
J. Beitinger 18 2-10 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 2 2 6 -2 -
H. Bekkering 16 2-5 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 2 2 5 0 -
R. Humphrey 12 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
D. Risper 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
N. Zumwalt 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
J. Bright 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter