Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Irvine Anteaters | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.8% | 80.2% | +7.7 | ✗ (10.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UC Irvine Anteaters -3 (58-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Stockalper | 38 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D. Whiten | 34 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | - |
| T. Shelton | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Thomas | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Henry | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. McGinn | 17 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| G. Stephenson | 16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| T. Clark | 14 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| C. Osborn | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
UC Irvine Anteaters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Fitzgerald | 34 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| P. Sanders | 32 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Fells | 29 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A. Templeton | 25 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| S. Armstrong | 23 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| N. Campbell | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Schraeder | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Metelski | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Price | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter