Model Predictions
| Model | UC San Diego Tritons | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.6% | 49.4% | -0.1 | ✗ (4.1 off) |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +4 (71-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
| Model | UC San Diego Tritons | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.6% | 49.4% | -0.1 | ✗ (4.1 off) |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +4 (71-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.