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VMI Keydets

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2017 2016
Also known as: VMI Keydets
Program History
Coach: Andrew Wilson

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

71.6
PPG
80.3
Opp
-8.7
Margin
39.7%
FG%
32.6%
3P%
72.9%
FT%
33.5
RPG
12.3
APG
10.2
TO
78.6
Pace
65.6
AdjO
84.5
AdjD
#359
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 684 (#355) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 634 (#362) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 838 (#699) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -19.4 (#359) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → -2.6 (#398) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.097 (#357) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -10.6 More → 0.271 (#252) NetEff -10.6
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -25.5 More → 0.050 (#358) AdjNet -25.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -25.6 More → 0.049 (#358) AdjNet -25.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 84.5 More → 0.152 (#359) AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 84.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 77.3 More → 0.317 (#688) AdjO 68.9 | AdjD 77.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.324 (#454) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.300 (#509) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 157 | GP 30 More → 734 (#696) RD 157 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Johnson & Wales (NC) JOHNSON & WALES-CHARLOTTE W 122 - 58
2025-11-07 @ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles W 78 - 74
2025-11-09 @ Missouri Tigers L 68 - 106
2025-11-12 vs Virginia-Lynchburg Dragons W 106 - 54
2025-11-15 vs Jacksonville Dolphins L 67 - 69
2025-11-19 @ Richmond Spiders L 54 - 87
2025-11-22 @ Stetson Hatters L 80 - 99
2025-11-24 @ Buffalo Bulls L 70 - 78
2025-11-26 vs Bowling Green Falcons L 48 - 81
2025-11-29 @ UCF Knights L 57 - 82
2025-12-05 vs Christendom Crusaders W 89 - 36
2025-12-21 @ Radford Highlanders L 90 - 97
2026-01-01 vs Samford Bulldogs L 58 - 78
2026-01-03 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 79 - 71
2026-01-07 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 67 - 81
2026-01-10 @ Furman Paladins L 48 - 69
2026-01-15 vs Mercer Bears L 67 - 77
2026-01-21 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans L 78 - 85
2026-01-24 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 58 - 88
2026-01-29 @ The Citadel Bulldogs L 56 - 80
2026-01-31 @ Mercer Bears L 81 - 95
2026-02-04 vs Wofford Terriers L 67 - 81
2026-02-07 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 70 - 87
2026-02-11 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 71 - 92
2026-02-14 vs Furman Paladins L 72 - 90
2026-02-18 @ Wofford Terriers L 76 - 82
2026-02-21 vs Western Carolina Catamounts L 62 - 81
2026-02-26 @ Samford Bulldogs L 61 - 80
2026-02-28 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 79 - 86
2026-03-06 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 70 - 84

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
TJ Johnson TJ Johnson F 29 35.6 18.2 7.1 1.3 1.5 0.2 1.6 13.9 12.9 -90 -4.3 -14.4 39.7 35.3 82.3 -1.12 57.5 52.4
Linus Holmstrom Linus Holmstrom G 29 27.4 11.1 2.6 1.7 1.1 0.2 1.4 8.9 6.3 45 2.0 7.1 43.2 38.0 76.3 -0.04 58.6 56.8
T. Yildizoglu T. Yildizoglu G 29 31.1 10.1 3.6 4.4 1.4 0.0 2.3 9.5 7.7 -63 -2.5 -10.5 39.3 26.4 64.0 -1.09 47.6 44.5
Mario Tatum, Jr. Mario Tatum, Jr. - 29 26.0 8.1 2.1 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.6 7.4 4.4 312 14.2 27.4 37.9 28.0 64.9 2.37 47.9 43.9
Jaylen Pazon Jaylen Pazon - 18 13.7 6.9 2.3 0.7 0.4 0.3 1.2 6.2 3.3 47 2.8 25.6 43.2 17.6 71.9 -0.5 50.0 45.9
A. Daushvili A. Daushvili F 5 17.2 6.8 4.2 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.6 3.4 8.6 - - - 41.2 0.0 83.3 -0.06 61.7 41.2
Walker Andrews Walker Andrews G 27 14.0 6.3 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.3 5.3 2.7 74 3.7 34.1 38.5 34.0 90.0 0.13 54.4 50.0
Aj Clark Aj Clark G 20 26.4 6.2 6.2 1.6 1.1 0.9 1.2 5.4 9.4 -37 -1.7 -6.1 44.4 34.6 62.5 -0.54 51.2 48.6
Cal Liston Cal Liston F 30 22.9 5.6 3.2 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.7 4.9 4.8 58 2.5 13.5 37.8 34.2 72.0 0.08 53.1 51.0
Kaden Stuckey Kaden Stuckey F 27 18.5 4.3 4.7 0.6 0.4 0.8 1.1 4.1 5.4 2 0.1 1.1 33.9 0.0 65.0 -0.44 41.5 33.9
Branford Edmonds Iii Branford Edmonds Iii - 5 5.6 2.6 1.6 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.2 2.0 2.4 9 2.2 23.7 50.0 37.5 0 0.08 65.0 65.0
Mason Hagedorn Mason Hagedorn - 7 9.0 2.0 1.7 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.1 3.3 1.6 35 5.0 50.5 21.7 36.4 0 0.23 30.4 30.4
M. Lawson M. Lawson G 3 1.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 - - - 100.0 100.0 0 -0.02 150.0 150.0
R. Bradley Jr. R. Bradley Jr. G 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 238 9.5 22.5 0 0 0 1.47 0 0
Robert Peters Robert Peters F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG