Model Predictions
| Model | VMI Keydets | Richmond Spiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.3% | 98.7% | +23.7 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Richmond Spiders +33 (87-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson * | 30 | 1-11 | 0-9 | 2-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -14.8 |
| Cal Liston * | 28 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -14.4 |
| Tan Yildizoglu * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1 | -15.5 |
| Linus Holmstrom * | 23 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | -3.9 |
| AJ Clark * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -16.4 |
| Mario Tatum Jr. | 27 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | -5.5 |
| Jaylen Pazon | 19 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 4 | +0.0 |
| Kaden Stuckey | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | +3.3 |
| Mason Hagedorn | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Branford Edmonds III | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.3 |
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Lopez * | 18 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +8.9 |
| Mike Walz * | 17 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16 | +10.5 |
| Will Johnston * | 15 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +11.6 |
| Collin Tanner * | 15 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | +12.4 |
| Mikkel Tyne * | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +9.1 |
| Aiden Argabright | 24 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | +3.3 |
| Apostolos Roumoglou | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | -1.9 |
| David Thomas | 16 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Jaden Daughtry | 14 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +9.6 |
| Jaylen Robinson | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.9 |
| Jonathan Beagle | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +6.1 |
| Will Harper III | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -1.5 |
| Bryson McGlothin | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Kirby Mooney | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2.8 |
* = starter