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East Tennessee State Buccaneers 87
@
VMI Keydets 70
2026-02-07

Model Predictions

Model East Tennessee State Buccaneers VMI Keydets Spread Result
Elo 88.1% 11.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 89.4% 10.6% - ✓
Margin 95.9% 4.1% -17.4 ✓ (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 85.5% 14.5% - ✓
Efficiency 83.0% 17.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 95.2% 4.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 95.2% 4.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 81.7% 18.3% - ✓

Actual: VMI Keydets -17 (70-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Barkley 31 7-9 2-2 6-8 12 2 0 0 2 22 25 -
C. Morris III 30 7-10 0-0 2-2 5 3 3 1 3 16 15 -
M. Johnson 30 5-6 5-6 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 15 14 -
A. Strothers 26 1-3 0-1 4-4 1 5 1 1 2 6 9 -
J. McCullum 25 6-7 0-1 0-0 3 4 2 1 1 12 14 -
B. Taylor II 21 2-9 1-4 0-0 6 3 0 0 2 5 3 -
J. Smith 19 1-6 1-6 0-0 2 6 0 0 5 3 0 -
M. Matthews 12 3-6 2-5 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 8 6 -
I. Sutherland 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

VMI Keydets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Johnson 38 3-11 1-8 0-2 3 4 5 0 2 7 6 -
T. Yildizoglu 36 4-8 1-3 3-4 6 7 3 0 3 12 17 -
L. Holmstrom 34 7-12 6-10 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 20 9 -
M. Tatum Jr. 30 1-6 0-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 4 3 -
K. Stuckey 28 4-9 0-1 5-5 5 1 0 0 4 13 6 -
C. Liston 23 2-7 2-6 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
J. Pazon 10 3-4 1-2 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 8 3 -
W. Andrews 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter