Model Predictions
| Model | Wofford Terriers | VMI Keydets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.2% | 17.8% | -13.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.8% | 12.2% | -10.8 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VMI Keydets -14 (67-81). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Wofford Terriers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Machowski * | 38 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | +11.8 |
| Cayden Vasko * | 37 | 9-14 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 25 | +7.2 |
| Chace Watley * | 32 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | +10.0 |
| Brian Sumpter * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +10.1 |
| Brendan Rigsbee * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2.2 |
| Jayden Tyler | 26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 13 | +6.0 |
| Luke Flynn | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.4 |
| Rex Stirling | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1.3 |
| Max Ortega | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.1 |
| Grayson Collins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tan Yildizoglu * | 40 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | -14.3 |
| TJ Johnson * | 40 | 8-16 | 5-11 | 4-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 23 | -11.1 |
| Mario Tatum Jr. * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -5.2 |
| Linus Holmstrom * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +0.6 |
| Cal Liston * | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -7.0 |
| Kaden Stuckey | 22 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -7.7 |
| Walker Andrews | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7.4 |
| Jaylen Pazon | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.8 |
* = starter