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2025-11-22

Model Predictions

Model VMI Keydets Stetson Hatters Spread Result
Elo 20.2% 79.8% -
Bradley-Terry 20.1% 79.9% -
Margin 13.6% 86.4% +10.2 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 26.7% 73.3% -
Efficiency 40.3% 59.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.5% 85.5% -
Log Adjusted 14.5% 85.5% -
Points Off/Def 28.0% 72.0% -

Actual: Stetson Hatters +19 (99-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

VMI Keydets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Johnson * 33 6-17 2-11 6-7 6 3 0 0 3 20 9 -13.6
A. Clark * 33 5-7 0-0 2-2 11 1 1 0 0 12 18 -13.4
T. Yildizoglu * 31 3-7 1-3 0-2 2 4 3 0 0 7 9 -14.6
L. Holmstrom * 23 3-9 3-8 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 -12.2
C. Liston * 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 -4.6
M. Tatum Jr. 27 5-9 0-2 0-2 2 1 0 0 1 10 3 -
W. Andrews 18 5-9 3-5 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 15 8 -7.5
K. Stuckey 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -3.8
M. Hagedorn 5 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -1.0
J. Pazon 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9

Stetson Hatters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Copeland * 34 9-14 7-12 0-0 3 6 1 0 0 25 21 +13.9
A. Doyle * 33 7-12 7-11 0-0 4 5 0 2 1 21 19 +11.3
C. Sirmans III * 29 1-5 1-4 2-2 2 10 0 0 3 5 9 +11.2
J. Phillips Jr. * 27 9-15 3-7 3-5 8 3 0 0 2 24 18 +11.2
C. Kuhl * 18 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 8 8 +10.3
J. Johnson 25 3-4 2-3 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 8 12 +7.4
M. Diop 18 2-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 1 0 5 10 +3.8
S. Morgan 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
J. Leonard 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0
I. Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter