Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | VMI Keydets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.2% | 37.8% | -5.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.9% | 20.1% | -7.6 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.9% | 28.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VMI Keydets -2 (67-69). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Sterck * | 36 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 7 | +6.6 |
| Jaylen Jones * | 34 | 7-9 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | -1.9 |
| Donovan Rivers * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | -2.4 |
| Jason Thirdkill Jr. * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Hayden Wood * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Chris Arias | 31 | 8-15 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 16 | +1.1 |
| Jaylen Jordon | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -4.2 |
| Chris Lockett Jr. | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.8 |
| Allen Udemadu | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5.4 |
| Enrico Borio | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.4 |
| Simon Wheeler | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson * | 34 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | -0.5 |
| Tan Yildizoglu * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 5 | -14.0 |
| AJ Clark * | 30 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 10 | -13.6 |
| Linus Holmstrom * | 29 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +1.8 |
| Kaden Stuckey * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -11.6 |
| Mario Tatum Jr. | 27 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +14.4 |
| Cal Liston | 20 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7.3 |
| Jaylen Pazon | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +4.1 |
| Mason Hagedorn | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +3.2 |
* = starter