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2025-11-15

Model Predictions

Model Jacksonville Dolphins VMI Keydets Spread Result
Elo 54.2% 45.8% -
Bradley-Terry 73.1% 26.9% -
Margin 80.5% 19.5% -7.8 (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 71.9% 28.1% -
Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.8% 15.2% -
Log Adjusted 84.9% 15.1% -
Points Off/Def 63.9% 36.1% -

Actual: VMI Keydets -2 (67-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Jacksonville Dolphins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Sterck * 36 4-7 1-3 0-0 3 5 3 0 6 9 7 +8.6
J. Jones * 34 7-9 1-3 2-5 4 2 0 0 3 17 11 +8.6
D. Rivers * 22 3-6 0-0 3-5 8 2 0 0 1 9 12 +0.9
J. Thirdkill Jr. * 21 2-7 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 4 0 +0.9
H. Wood * 20 0-4 0-4 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 0 1 +8.6
C. Arias 31 8-15 8-12 0-0 6 2 2 0 3 24 16 +7.8
J. Jordon 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 4 5 -
C. Lockett Jr. 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Udemadu 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 +7.8
E. Borio 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
S. Wheeler 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

VMI Keydets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Johnson * 34 7-13 2-7 2-2 6 3 1 0 1 18 14 -9.0
T. Yildizoglu * 31 2-8 0-2 0-0 7 3 5 0 6 4 5 -9.0
A. Clark * 30 6-9 1-1 2-2 5 0 2 1 4 15 10 -8.8
L. Holmstrom * 29 3-8 2-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 8 5 -8.7
K. Stuckey * 13 0-2 0-1 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 1 4 -8.8
M. Tatum Jr. 27 4-8 1-3 4-5 1 1 1 0 1 13 7 -
C. Liston 20 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 4 1 0 1 3 4 -
J. Pazon 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 2 -1 -
M. Hagedorn 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter