Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | VMI Keydets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.8% | 8.2% | -13.3 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: VMI Keydets -20 (58-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Booth | 36 | 6-11 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | +10.2 |
| K. Norris | 31 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +11.4 |
| D. Faulkner | 30 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 27 | +10.2 |
| C. Norris | 30 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +2.0 |
| I. Campbell-Finch | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2.5 |
| J. Pollard | 19 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +7.4 |
| Z. Wilburn | 18 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +6.8 |
| K. Martin | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| W. Shaver | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Bjornstad | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Harrison | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson | 35 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | -10.7 |
| T. Yildizoglu | 33 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | -10.7 |
| M. Tatum Jr. | 27 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| L. Holmstrom | 27 | 3-14 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -6 | -2.4 |
| C. Liston | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -2.8 |
| A. Clark | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -8.5 |
| K. Stuckey | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7.6 |
| A. Daushvili | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| W. Andrews | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -7.8 |
* = starter