Model Predictions
| Model | VMI Keydets | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +33.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +25 (82-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson * | 30 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Linus Holmstrom * | 25 | 3-10 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Tan Yildizoglu * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mason Hagedorn * | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| AJ Clark * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mario Tatum Jr. | 30 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Cal Liston | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Walker Andrews | 14 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Kaden Stuckey | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jaylen Pazon | 12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamichael Stillwell * | 29 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 31 | - |
| Themus Fulks * | 27 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Burks * | 19 | 6-14 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Riley Kugel * | 16 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| John Bol * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Carmelo Pacheco | 22 | 2-9 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Dev. Cambridge | 21 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Chris Johnson | 19 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| George Beale Jr. | 13 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Kris Parker | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jeremy Foumena | 8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Zachary Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Poohpha Warakulnukroh | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter