Model Predictions
| Model | VMI Keydets | Mercer Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.6% | 97.4% | +19.9 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mercer Bears +14 (95-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson | 40 | 8-16 | 7-15 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 15 | +0.6 |
| Tan Yildizoglu | 37 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 19 | -7.6 |
| Linus Holmstrom | 35 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | +7.4 |
| AJ Clark | 33 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -7.3 |
| Cal Liston | 23 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | -4.3 |
| Mario Tatum Jr. | 19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +9.5 |
| Kaden Stuckey | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -0.8 |
| Jaylen Pazon | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.7 |
Mercer Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baraka Okojie | 38 | 7-12 | 0-4 | 10-11 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 22 | +1.4 |
| Armani Mighty | 37 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 21 | +3.4 |
| Brady Shoulders | 36 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 18 | -1.2 |
| Zaire Williams | 26 | 4-11 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -11.0 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. | 25 | 7-14 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +2.5 |
| Connor Serven | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | +4.4 |
| Tristan Gross | 13 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -9.0 |
| Bendji Pierre | 4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5.0 |
* = starter