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2026-02-11

Model Predictions

Model VMI Keydets UNC Greensboro Spartans Spread Result
Elo 10.9% 89.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 15.8% 84.2% - โœ“
Margin 11.1% 88.9% +11.5 โœ“ (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 20.4% 79.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 7.7% 92.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 9.8% 90.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.8% 90.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.5% 74.5% - โœ“

Actual: UNC Greensboro Spartans +21 (92-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

VMI Keydets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Johnson 38 5-15 4-13 6-6 10 2 1 0 2 20 16 -19.8
Tan Yildizoglu 35 2-9 1-4 0-0 1 9 1 0 2 5 5 -13.6
Linus Holmstrom 32 8-12 7-8 0-0 0 3 4 1 3 23 16 -7.4
Mario Tatum Jr. 30 5-6 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 10 11 -4.9
Kaden Stuckey 28 4-8 0-1 1-3 5 0 1 1 3 9 5 -12.4
Cal Liston 20 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -15.8
Jaylen Pazon 8 2-5 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 0 -9.4
Walker Andrews 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.7
Branford Edmonds III 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
Mason Lawson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.1
Rickey Bradley 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UNC Greensboro Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Justin Neely 35 7-10 0-1 2-5 9 2 0 0 3 16 14 +14.4
Noah Norgaard 34 3-9 0-5 0-1 4 7 0 1 2 6 7 +8.7
KJ Younger 29 5-12 3-8 8-8 5 2 2 0 1 21 17 +18.6
Lilian Marville 27 6-9 4-7 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 16 10 +8.3
Clinton Efinda 26 7-10 5-7 2-3 5 4 0 1 0 21 21 +9.4
Donald Whitehead Jr. 18 1-6 1-6 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 3 2 -
Valentino Pinedo 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 4 -8.5
Clyde Bailey II 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 3 +14.4
Chane Bynum 2 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +0.9
Landon King 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 +2.0
Braylen Bowman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0
Domas Kauzonas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.6
Assane Mandian 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0

* = starter