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2026-02-28

Model Predictions

Model VMI Keydets Chattanooga Mocs Spread Result
Elo 21.3% 78.7% -
Bradley-Terry 20.6% 79.4% -
Margin 10.1% 89.9% +12.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 18.4% 81.6% -
Efficiency 17.3% 82.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.4% 90.6% -
Log Adjusted 9.4% 90.6% -
Points Off/Def 24.3% 75.7% -

Actual: Chattanooga Mocs +7 (86-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

VMI Keydets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Johnson 40 7-17 6-14 1-3 7 0 1 1 0 21 13 -
T. Yildizoglu 39 3-10 2-6 2-4 3 6 0 0 0 10 9 +6.4
C. Liston 38 8-16 2-8 3-3 9 2 1 0 0 21 17 +7.1
L. Holmstrom 30 3-7 3-7 3-3 2 2 0 0 0 12 9 +6.1
K. Stuckey 28 4-5 0-0 5-8 9 0 0 1 1 13 17 +6.8
M. Tatum Jr. 19 1-7 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -3 -
W. Andrews 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +1.0

Chattanooga Mocs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Darner 35 2-6 1-3 2-3 7 3 0 0 0 7 11 -7.4
B. Watkins 35 2-11 1-5 1-1 4 3 0 0 0 6 2 -7.5
J. Frison 34 14-18 3-4 2-3 3 3 0 0 0 33 21 -7.5
B. Smith 31 5-12 5-11 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 15 6 -7.3
C. Mulholland 28 6-10 0-1 1-1 10 2 0 0 0 13 15 -1.1
T. Washington Jr. 15 4-8 2-6 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 10 5 -
M. Richards 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 3 -5.1
H. Holland 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.1
J. Johnson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.0

* = starter