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2026-01-15

Model Predictions

Model Mercer Bears VMI Keydets Spread Result
Elo 80.7% 19.3% -
Bradley-Terry 83.4% 16.6% -
Margin 94.3% 5.7% -15.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 82.8% 17.2% -
Efficiency 95.5% 4.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.7% 6.3% -
Log Adjusted 93.7% 6.3% -
Points Off/Def 78.4% 21.6% -

Actual: VMI Keydets -10 (67-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mercer Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Okojie 38 2-6 1-2 6-8 0 7 1 0 2 11 11 -3.3
B. Shoulders 36 9-17 0-2 2-5 6 0 2 0 1 20 10 -3.1
A. Mighty 34 8-10 0-0 2-2 25 2 0 3 3 18 35 -2.6
Z. Williams 29 3-12 2-8 4-4 5 2 3 0 4 12 6 -1.6
C. Serven 24 4-8 0-2 3-4 4 1 1 0 2 11 7 -0.4
K. Cuffe Jr. 22 2-8 0-5 1-1 3 0 0 0 2 5 -2 -3.5
T. Gross 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.6
B. Pierre 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

VMI Keydets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Johnson 35 6-13 3-8 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 15 2 +4.5
L. Holmstrom 32 7-17 4-10 0-0 5 2 3 0 4 18 7 +1.9
A. Clark 29 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 3 1 0 7 +2.9
T. Yildizoglu 27 2-7 0-3 0-0 1 5 1 0 3 4 1 +2.6
M. Tatum Jr. 25 2-8 1-5 2-2 1 4 1 0 1 7 4 -
C. Liston 24 4-5 4-5 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 12 11 -4.4
K. Stuckey 18 2-6 0-0 1-2 6 0 2 1 0 5 8 +5.6
W. Andrews 10 2-4 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 6 6 +1.2

* = starter