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2026-01-07

Model Predictions

Model VMI Keydets East Tennessee State Buccaneers Spread Result
Elo 5.7% 94.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 7.1% 92.9% - โœ“
Margin 1.9% 98.1% +21.8 โœ“ (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 8.5% 91.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 12.1% 87.9% - โœ“

Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +14 (81-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

VMI Keydets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Johnson 37 9-17 6-10 6-8 9 0 1 1 1 30 23 -5.2
Linus Holmstrom 31 2-13 0-8 2-2 1 2 0 0 0 6 -4 -5.5
Mario Tatum Jr. 30 3-9 0-3 1-2 3 2 1 0 1 7 3 -2.6
AJ Clark 28 2-5 0-1 1-2 5 1 2 0 0 5 8 -9.0
Tan Yildizoglu 24 4-8 0-3 3-7 3 1 1 0 2 11 6 -4.8
Alexander Daushvili 22 1-3 0-0 4-6 2 2 1 0 1 6 7 -4.6
Kaden Stuckey 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 1 0 5 -2.4
Cal Liston 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.8
Walker Andrews 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 +2.2

East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Blake Barkley 36 7-9 1-2 5-6 7 1 0 0 1 20 18 +2.5
Brian Taylor 35 3-8 0-4 1-2 3 6 1 0 2 7 7 +3.0
Cam Morris III 32 10-12 1-1 4-6 7 2 0 1 2 25 21 +16.7
Maki Johnson 26 3-6 3-6 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 9 9 +4.3
Jaylen Smith 24 4-9 3-6 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 13 7 -3.6
Allen Strothers 24 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 5 0 0 0 2 7 +2.8
Gabe Sisk 11 1-3 0-0 1-1 1 0 1 0 0 3 2 -0.6
Jordan McCullum 10 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 1 1 1 2 2 -0.5
Joseph Carter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Henry Sisemore 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter