Model Predictions
| Model | VMI Keydets | The Citadel Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.6% | 76.4% | +6.4 | ✓ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs +24 (80-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson | 38 | 5-12 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | -1.1 |
| M. Tatum Jr. | 37 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | -1.0 |
| A. Clark | 31 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1.1 |
| C. Liston | 27 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -1.0 |
| T. Yildizoglu | 26 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1.1 |
| W. Andrews | 21 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | - |
| J. Pazon | 15 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| K. Stuckey | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
The Citadel Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Adebisi | 35 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 23 | +1.0 |
| C. Kingsbury | 34 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | +0.8 |
| C. Moore | 33 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| B. Williams | 33 | 4-15 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | +0.9 |
| E. Wali | 27 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +1.0 |
| L. Applegate | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +1.0 |
| M. Gonzales | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Davis | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Kearse | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Heck | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Williams | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Bonjasky | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Walter | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Alexander | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Menefee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Hernandez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter