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2026-01-29

Model Predictions

Model VMI Keydets The Citadel Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 19.5% 80.5% -
Bradley-Terry 23.3% 76.7% -
Margin 23.6% 76.4% +6.4 (17.6 off)
Pythagorean 34.7% 65.3% -
Efficiency 8.7% 91.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.6% 68.4% -
Log Adjusted 31.6% 68.4% -
Points Off/Def 34.6% 65.4% -

Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs +24 (80-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

VMI Keydets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Johnson 38 5-12 4-9 2-3 8 0 0 0 1 16 11 -1.1
M. Tatum Jr. 37 4-10 2-4 1-1 1 1 1 0 1 11 3 -1.0
A. Clark 31 3-5 0-1 1-2 3 1 3 0 1 7 8 -1.1
C. Liston 27 1-2 1-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 5 5 -1.0
T. Yildizoglu 26 1-6 0-2 0-0 6 3 0 0 3 2 2 -1.1
W. Andrews 21 1-9 1-7 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 3 -4 -
J. Pazon 15 4-8 0-1 1-1 2 0 1 0 1 9 3 -
K. Stuckey 5 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Adebisi 35 5-8 1-1 0-0 12 5 3 1 1 11 23 +1.0
C. Kingsbury 34 5-10 4-5 2-2 4 7 0 0 2 16 15 +0.8
C. Moore 33 7-11 5-8 1-3 4 0 0 0 1 20 12 -
B. Williams 33 4-15 3-11 2-4 8 3 1 0 0 13 10 +0.9
E. Wali 27 4-5 3-4 0-0 2 4 1 1 1 11 13 +1.0
L. Applegate 15 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 5 5 +1.0
M. Gonzales 8 0-1 0-1 2-6 1 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
K. Davis 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
D. Kearse 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Heck 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Williams 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Bonjasky 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Walter 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Alexander 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Menefee 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Hernandez 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter