Model Predictions
| Model | VMI Keydets | Buffalo Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.9% | 97.1% | +19.2 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Buffalo Bulls +8 (78-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VMI Keydets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson * | 36 | 6-21 | 6-18 | 10-11 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 15 | -3.2 |
| A. Clark * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | -2.9 |
| T. Yildizoglu * | 25 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | -9.2 |
| L. Holmstrom * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0.2 |
| C. Liston * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +5.9 |
| M. Tatum Jr. | 24 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - |
| K. Stuckey | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4.7 |
| J. Pazon | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | -3.9 |
| W. Andrews | 13 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3.3 |
| M. Hagedorn | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Buffalo Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Freitag * | 39 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 14-16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 16 | +3.8 |
| R. Sabol * | 37 | 4-14 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | +4.8 |
| N. Batchelor * | 35 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | +2.6 |
| A. Brizzi * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +0.2 |
| T. Oboh * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +2.2 |
| E. McKenna | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | +0.5 |
| D. Talton Jr. | 19 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +5.7 |
| M. Pocknett | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -3.0 |
| K. Jones | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.2 |
* = starter