🐻⬇️🏀

North Carolina

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: North Carolina Tar Heels
Program History
Coach: Roy Williams

2015 Team Stats (33 games)

77.9
PPG
69.2
Opp
+8.7
Margin
48.6%
FG%
37.6%
3P%
70.5%
FT%
39.8
RPG
17.3
APG
12.4
TO
81.8
Pace

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1583 (#42) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1584 (#22) -
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +40.7 (#12) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.683 (#19) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +8.8 More → 0.728 (#10) NetEff +8.8
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +19.5 More → 0.905 (#10) AdjNet +19.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +19.8 More → 0.908 (#10) AdjNet +19.8

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 76 - 60
2014-11-22 @ Davidson Wildcats W 90 - 72
2014-11-27 @ UCLA Bruins W 78 - 56
2014-12-07 vs East Carolina Pirates W 108 - 64
2014-12-13 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 70 - 84
2014-12-16 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 79 - 56
2014-12-27 vs UAB Blazers W 89 - 58
2014-12-30 vs William & Mary Tribe W 86 - 64
2015-01-03 @ Clemson Tigers W 74 - 50
2015-01-05 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 70 - 71
2015-01-10 vs Louisville Cardinals W 72 - 71
2015-01-14 @ NC State Wolfpack W 81 - 79
2015-01-18 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 68 - 53
2015-01-21 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 87 - 71
2015-01-24 vs Florida State Seminoles W 78 - 74
2015-01-26 vs Syracuse Orange W 93 - 83
2015-01-31 @ Louisville Cardinals L 68 - 78
2015-02-02 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 64 - 75
2015-02-07 @ Boston College Eagles W 79 - 68
2015-02-14 @ Pittsburgh Panthers L 76 - 89
2015-02-18 @ Duke Blue Devils L 90 - 92
2015-02-21 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 89 - 60
2015-02-24 vs NC State Wolfpack L 46 - 58
2015-02-28 @ Miami Hurricanes W 73 - 64
2015-03-03 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 81 - 49
2015-03-07 vs Duke Blue Devils L 77 - 84
2015-03-11 vs Boston College Eagles W 81 - 63
2015-03-12 @ Louisville Cardinals W 70 - 60
2015-03-13 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 71 - 67
2015-03-14 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 82 - 90
2015-03-19 vs Harvard Crimson W 67 - 65
2015-03-21 vs Arkansas Razorbacks W 87 - 78
2015-03-26 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 72 - 79

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Paige M. Paige G 33 33.1 13.8 3.1 4.7 1.8 0.2 1.8 10.7 11.2 - - - 42.8 41.2 92.3 - 58.9 54.4
B. Johnson B. Johnson F 33 25.2 13.0 7.9 0.9 0.6 1.1 1.5 9.6 12.4 -26 -2.4 -3.2 56.9 0 68.0 0.53 59.3 56.9
K. Meeks K. Meeks F 32 23.0 11.0 6.6 1.0 0.7 1.1 1.5 8.1 10.8 - - - 55.4 0.0 65.0 - 58.1 55.4
Justin Jackson Justin Jackson - 33 27.7 10.9 3.9 2.3 0.4 0.5 1.4 8.7 7.8 10 0.7 1.0 48.3 32.1 71.4 0.86 55.8 52.8
J.P. Tokoto J.P. Tokoto F 33 28.8 8.4 5.6 4.2 1.5 0.3 2.2 7.3 10.5 - - - 44.2 40.0 59.1 - 49.3 46.2
I. Hicks I. Hicks F 33 14.9 6.9 3.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.8 4.7 5.2 - - - 57.1 0.0 62.5 - 59.6 57.1
N. Britt N. Britt G 33 15.3 5.5 1.4 1.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 4.2 3.7 - - - 38.6 37.1 88.1 - 55.1 46.8
J. Berry II J. Berry II G 25 14.0 4.5 0.9 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.7 3.4 3.2 44 5.5 10.1 40.7 36.6 75.0 1.2 55.0 49.4
Theo Pinson Theo Pinson - 19 12.1 3.4 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.7 2.9 4.8 - - - 43.6 33.3 64.3 - 52.3 50.0
J. James J. James F 33 10.7 2.5 1.9 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 2.5 1.9 - - - 44.6 0 62.5 -0.17 46.6 44.6
S. Seymore S. Seymore F 5 1.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.4 - - - 66.7 0 75.0 - 73.5 66.7
J. Simmons J. Simmons F 25 3.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 - - - 80.0 0 75.0 0.68 80.8 80.0
D. Hubert D. Hubert F 17 3.5 0.2 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 1.1 - - - 50.0 0 28.6 - 39.4 50.0
L. Davis L. Davis G 3 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 4 0.3 0.5 0 0 0 0.98 0 0
S. White S. White G 8 2.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
J. Coleman J. Coleman G 9 1.8 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 -0.1 -5 -0.5 -2.5 0.0 0.0 0 0.13 0.0 0.0
S. Dalton S. Dalton G 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG